Perion Network | Q2 2024 Research Report

Things You Need to Know

  • Perion reported substantial YoY growth in several key areas, including a 75% jump in Retail Media revenue, a 42% increase in CTV advertising, and a 41% climb in DOOH.
  • Overall revenue decreased by 39% compared to the previous year, largely due to a 66% decline in Open Web video revenue and a 57% drop in Search Advertising revenue, largely attributed to Microsoft’s Bing marketplace changes.
  • Maoz Sigron will be promoted to Chief Operating Officer (COO) as of August 1, 2024, while Elad Tzubery will become the Chief Financial Officer (CFO).
Perion Network One-Year Performance (08/08/2023 to 08/08/2024)

Thesis

Despite losing a key partnership with Microsoft, Perion Network remains an attractive investment opportunity due to its diversified advertising solutions and continued growth in emerging markets. The company is expanding its presence in the Connected TV (CTV) and Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH) advertising segments, with CTV revenue growing 42% YoY and DOOH increasing by 41% YoY in Q2 2024. Additionally, Perion’s investment in proprietary AI technology, such as SORT 2.0 and WAVE, positions it for sustained growth, enhancing its business fundamentals and intrinsic value over the long term.

Perion Network’s current market valuation presents a compelling opportunity, as traditional metrics indicate significant undervaluation. The company’s low P/B ratio of 0.53 and a P/E ratio of 5.18 suggest a substantial margin of safety for investors. Even in a worst-case scenario where search advertising diminishes, Perion’s advertising solutions segment alone justifies a higher valuation, with a DCF model indicating a significant margin of safety. With a diversified business model and strong financial position, Perion is poised to overcome short-term setbacks and deliver long-term value to shareholders.

Business Catalysts

  1. Growth in CTV and DOOH Advertising: Perion is experiencing strong growth in Connected TV (CTV) and Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH) advertising, with YoY increases of 42% and 41% respectively, positioning the company well for future market expansion.
  2. AI-Driven Advertising Solutions: Perion’s proprietary AI tools like SORT 2.0 and WAVE enhance targeted advertising and consumer engagement, offering advertisers competitive advantages and driving demand.
  3. Attractive Valuation and Financial Strength: Perion’s stock appears undervalued, with a low P/B ratio and a significant margin of safety, supported by strong cash reserves and diversified revenue streams.

Financial Overview

In Q2 2024, Perion Network reported a total revenue of $108.7 million, reflecting a 39% decline compared to the same period last year. This drop was largely due to a 66% decrease in Open Web video revenue and a 57% decline in Search Advertising revenue following changes in Microsoft’s Bing marketplace. Despite these challenges, Perion saw substantial growth in its key advertising segments: Connected TV (CTV) advertising revenue increased by 42%, Digital Out-of-Home (DOOH) advertising grew by 41%, and Retail Media revenue surged by 75%.

Perion Network’s Q2 2024 results reflect a challenging period due to the loss of a major partner and declining revenue in core segments. However, the company’s ability to achieve substantial growth in emerging markets such as CTV and DOOH advertising showcases its resilience and strategic focus on diversification. While the immediate financial performance indicates vulnerabilities, Perion’s investments in innovative solutions and financial strength position it well for long-term growth and recovery. The company’s leadership changes and share repurchase program demonstrate a proactive approach to navigating current challenges and capitalizing on future opportunities.

Points of Criticism

  • Loss of Microsoft Partnership: The loss of Microsoft as a key partner significantly impacts Perion’s revenue, dropping search advertising income from 34% to less than 5% of total revenue.
  • Decline in Search Advertising: Search advertising revenue fell by 57% in Q2 2024, raising concerns about Perion’s ability to sustain this segment’s competitive edge.
  • Challenges in Open Web Video: Open Web Video revenue declined by 66%, highlighting potential weaknesses and difficulty adapting to market trends in this part of Perion’s business.

Notable Updates in Q2 2024

  • 05/15/2024: Perion Network has launched Hivestack’s ‘Green Curated Deals’, a new solution for Digital Out-Of-Home (DOOH) advertising that uses Scope3 emissions data to offer lower carbon ad inventory globally. This initiative, integrated within Hivestack Curate, aims to reduce the environmental impact of DOOH campaigns by optimizing ad delivery for lower emissions while enhancing campaign effectiveness.
  • 03/11/2024: Perion Network Ltd. has partnered with Way.io to integrate its Hivestack platform with Way.io’s DSP in China, expanding access to programmatic digital out-of-home (DOOH) advertising. This collaboration enhances Way.io’s capabilities to manage DOOH campaigns domestically and globally, leveraging Hivestack’s extensive network of over 1 million screens and offering new opportunities for brands in China and beyond.

Download

Please enable JavaScript in your browser to complete this form.
Name

Disclosures

Analyst Certification

Each author of Maker Capital Research on this report certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in this research accurately reflect the author’s personal, independent, and objective views about any and all of the designated securities discussed (ii) no part of the author’s compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the research, (iii) to the best of the author’s knowledge, she/he is not in receipt of material non-public information about the issuer, (iv) the author owns securities in the company under coverage, and (v) the author adheres to the CFA Institute guidelines for analyst independence.

About Maker Capital Research

At Maker Capital Research, we are an independent equity research firm dedicated to uncovering high-quality businesses with market caps below $1 billion. Our expert team employs a fundamental, long-term investment strategy that emphasizes business sustainability and predictability. By meticulously analyzing a company’s operations, competitive advantages, financials, and management team, we assess the true quality of potential investments. Our research serves discerning investors who value in-depth insights and seek to make well-informed investment decisions. At Maker Capital Research, we provide the crucial information that empowers investors to identify and invest in promising businesses.

General Information

Maker Capital Research Corporation (MCR), a subsidiary of Apollo Relations, has created and distributed this report. This report is based on information we consider reliable; we have not been provided with any material non-public information by the company (or companies) discussed in this report. We do not represent that this report is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such; further, any information in this report is subject to change without any formal or type of notice provided. Investors should consider this report as only one factor in their investment decisions; this report is not intended as a replacement for an investor’s independent judgment.

Apollo Relations is not an IIROC registered dealer and does not offer investment banking services to its clients. Apollo Relations (and its employees) own, trade, or have a beneficial interest in the securities of the company being provided research services, but do not own a majority or special interest in the business. Apollo Relations does not serve as an officer or Director of the company discussed in this report. Apollo Relations does not make a market in any securities. This report is not disseminated in connection with any distribution of securities and is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal.

Apollo Relations does not make any warranties, expressed or implied, as to the results to be obtained from using this information and makes no express or implied warranties for particular use. Anyone using this report assumes full responsibility for whatever results they obtain. This does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account any financial or investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individuals. This report has not been prepared for any particular individual or institution. Recipients should consider whether any information in this report is suitable for their particular circumstances and should seek professional advice. Past performance is not a guide for future results, future returns are not guaranteed, and loss of original capital may occur. Neither Apollo Relations nor any person employed by Apollo Relations accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect loss resulting from any use of its research or the information it contains.

This report contains “forward-looking” statements. Forward-looking statements regarding the Company and/or stock’s performance inherently involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from such forward-looking statements. Such statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties such as competition, technology shifts, market demand, and the company’s (and management’s) ability to correctly forecast financial estimates; please see the company’s MD&A “Risk Factors” Section for a more complete discussion of company-specific risks for the company discussed in this report.

Apollo Relations retains full editorial control over its research content. Apollo Relations does not have investment banking relationships and does not expect to receive any investment banking-driven income. Apollo Relations reports are primarily disseminated electronically and, in some cases, in printed form. Electronic reports are simultaneously available to all recipients in any form. Reprints of Apollo Relations reports are prohibited without permission. To receive future reports on covered companies please visit https://www.makercapitalresearch.com/research or subscribe to our website.
The information contained in this report is intended to be viewed only in jurisdictions where it may be legally viewed and is not intended for use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction where such use would be contrary to local regulations or which would require any registration requirement within such jurisdiction.

Copyright © 2024 Maker Capital Research, All rights reserved.